The core idea
Prices do not move because a date appears on the calendar. Seasonal tendencies can reflect recurring business cycles, fund flows, weather, holidays, earnings schedules or investor behavior. The dashboard summarizes those historical outcomes so they can be examined consistently.
How to read a pattern
- Win rate shows how often the selected direction succeeded.
- Average return summarizes all observed returns but can be influenced by outliers.
- Median return shows the middle observation and is often more robust.
- Dispersion helps reveal whether outcomes were clustered or unstable.
- Year-by-year results expose the evidence behind every summary statistic.
What seasonality cannot tell you
A historical tendency does not predict the next occurrence and does not account for your entry, position size, execution costs or current market regime. Use it as one research input, never as a guarantee.