Live GLD seasonal pattern
The chart shows the normalized average calendar-year path across the selected history.
GLD annual seasonality
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Strongest 60-day window—
Average return in window—
Winning years—
Weakest 60-day window—
Why gold can show seasonal tendencies
Portfolio flows
Rebalancing and new-year allocation decisions can create recurring investment-flow patterns.
Jewelry demand
Festival and wedding-related buying can add seasonal physical demand in important markets.
Macro cycles
Rates, the dollar and risk sentiment can dominate the pattern in any individual year.
Safe-haven demand
Geopolitical and financial stress can overwhelm normal seasonality, which is why individual years matter.
Strongest and weakest recurring windows
Historically strongest
Calculating…Historically weakest
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Compare multiple history lengths and inspect each historical year.